####018001572#### WTIN20 DEMS 210840 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.11.2023 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 21.11.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 21.11.2023. BAY OF BENGAL: YESTERDAY\U2019S UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND ANOTHER OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF TAMIL NADU COAST MERGED WITH TROUGH EXTENDING FROM COMORIN TO WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL OFF ANDHRA PRADESH COAST AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 21 ST NOVEMBER 2023. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL & SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOUR 144-168HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN AREA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS 144-168HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL REMARKS: NIL=