####018002099#### WTIN20 DEMS 120628 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 12.04.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 12.04.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 12.04.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & EXTREME SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA (MINIMUM CTT MINUS 85 DEG CEL). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS OVER REST OF ANDAMAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER COMORIN AREA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDED UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 12TH APRIL, 2024. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH KERALA COAST & COMORIN AREA (MINIMUM CTT MINUS 90 DEG CEL). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA SOUTH OF LAT 10.0N AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL.=