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WTIN20 DEMS 190643

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW

DELHI

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 19.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

19.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 19.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

A FRESH CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AT 3.1

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 19TH APRIL 2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL & NORTH BAY OF BENGAL.

     *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING

NEXT 168 HRS:

          24            24-48        48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144 144-168

        HOURS         HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS     HOURS   HOURS

           NIL           NIL          NIL           NIL

NIL       NIL   NIL

     *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.

       *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING

NEXT 168 HRS:

          24            24-48        48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144 144-168

        HOURS         HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS     HOURS   HOURS

          NIL           NIL           NIL            NIL

NIL       NIL   NIL

     *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY

REMARKS: NIL.=