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WTIN20 DEMS 091022

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

09.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 09.12.2023.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24 HOURS  24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144

HOURS 144-168 HOURS

NIL        NIL        NIL         NIL         NIL         NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &

ADJOINING

MALDIVES AREA PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM

ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 9TH DECEMBER, 2023.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE CONVECTION LAY

OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH

EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL

&

SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24 HOURS  24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144

HOURS 144-168 HOURS

NIL        NIL        NIL         NIL         NIL         NIL

NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=