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WTIN20 DEMS 080730

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 08.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

08.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 08.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH CHHATTISGARH & ADJOINING

VIDARBHA BECAME LESS MARKED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 8TH DECEMBER,

2023.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND

ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST BAY OF BENGAL AND

ANDAMAN SEA.



*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

NIL       NIL        NIL        NIL        NIL          NIL

NIL

*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &

NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTED AND LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &

ADJOINING

MALDIVES AREA EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL, AT 0300 UTC

OF

TODAY, THE 8TH DECEMBER, 2023.

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, COMORIN AREA.

SCATTERED

LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL & SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.



*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24HOURS  24-48HOURS   48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

NIL         NIL          NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL

NIL



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=