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WTIN20 DEMS 110705



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

11.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND

SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24HOURS  24-48HOURS  48-72HOURS  72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS  120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

  NIL        NIL         NIL          NIL       NIL         NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY'S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &

ADJOINING

MALDIVES AREA PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM

ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 11



TH DECEMBER, 2023.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA,

LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA AND COMORIN AREA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24HOURS  24-48HOURS  48-72HOURS  72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS  120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

  NIL        NIL         NIL          NIL       NIL         NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=