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WTIN20 DEMS 140640



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

14.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.12.2023.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL &

SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER

ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48   48-72   72-96   96-120   120-144  144-168

HOURS   HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS

NIL      NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:



YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING

SOUTHEAST

ARABIAN SEA LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING EQUATORIAL

INDIAN

OCEAN AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF

TODAY, THE

14TH DECEMBER, 2023.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48   48-72   72-96   96-120   120-144  144-168

HOURS   HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS

 NIL      NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=