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WTIN20 DEMS 130717



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 13.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

13.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 13.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH & CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH

ANDAMAN SEA.

 PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

   NIL      NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL        NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY'S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA LAY OVER

SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM

ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 13 TH DECEMBER, 2023.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH-WEST ARABIAN SEA, COMORIN AREA AND

NORTHEAST

ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

   NIL      NIL          NIL       NIL       NIL          NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=