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WTIN20 DEMS 190850

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 19.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

19.12.2023

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 19.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA &

NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW

LIES OVER LAKSHADWEEP & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 19



TH DECEMBER, 2023.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.



*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24HOURS 24-48HOURS  48-72HOURS  72-96HOURS   96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

NIL       NIL         NIL         NIL          NIL          NIL

NIL

*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST & EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN AREA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24HOURS  24-48HOURS   48-72HOURS    72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS

120-144HOURS   144-168HOURS

NIL       NIL           NIL          NIL         NIL             NIL=