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WTIN20 DEMS 110949



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

11.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.04.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE

TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL , SOUTH OF

LAT 10.0N ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN. THE MINIMUM CLOUD TOP

TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 90 DEG CEL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS

WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER

ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48     48-72     72-96     96-120     120-144   144-168

HOURS   HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

 NIL     NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL        NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA, SOME PART OF

SOUTHWEST

& SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48     48-72     72-96     96-120     120-144   144-168

HOURS   HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

 NIL     NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL        NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL.=