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WTIN20 DEMS 230716



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 23.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

23.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 23.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN

AND

ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN

SEA

LEVEL PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 23 RD

DECEMBER,

2023.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS

OVER WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER

CENTRAL

BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

 PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS

120-144HOURS144-168HOURS

    NIL     NIL         NIL       NIL         NIL         NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY'S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST & ADJOINING

SOUTHWEST

ARABIAN SEA EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTED OVER

THE

SAME REGION AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 23 RD DECEMBER, 2023.

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND

MEDIUM

CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN

AREA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL

ARABIAN

SEA, LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS

120-144HOURS144-168HOURS

    NIL     NIL         NIL       NIL         NIL         NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=