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WTIN20 DEMS 250750

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 25.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

25.12.2023

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 25.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARAKAN COAST AND NORTH ANDMAN SEA.

 *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24           24-48   48-72    72-96   96-120  120-144  144-168

HOURS        HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS

NIL           NIL      NIL       NIL   NIL     NIL      NIL



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 10.5 0 N AND

LONGITUDE

BETWEEN 53.0 0 E TO 73.0 0 E.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24           24-48   48-72    72-96   96-120  120-144  144-168

HOURS        HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS

NIL           NIL      NIL       NIL   NIL     NIL      NIL







*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=