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WTIN20 DEMS 260600



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 26.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

26.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 26.12.2023.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH ANDAMAN

SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48    48-72     72-96    96-120     120-144     144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS       HOURS

 NIL     NIL      NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL         NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER

CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48    48-72     72-96    96-120     120-144     144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS       HOURS

 NIL     NIL      NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL         NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=