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WTIN20 DEMS 071218

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 07.01.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

07.01.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 07.01.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY\U2019S TROUGH AT MEAN SEA LEVEL RUNS FROM SOUTH SRI LANKA

TO

WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST AND EXTENDS

UPTO

1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 7 TH JANUARY,

2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER WEST CENTRAL & SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH

ANDAMAN

SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK

CONVECTION LAY OVER EAST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



 24     24-48    48-72    72-96   96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS      HOURS

 NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL        NIL



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER LAKSHADWEEP AREA &

NEIGHBOURHOOD

NOW LIES OVER SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA UPTO 1.5KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

AT

0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 7 TH JANUARY, 2024.

THE TROUGH FROM THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER LAKSHADWEEP AREA &

NEIGHBOURHOOD TO VIDARBHA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME

LESS

MARKED AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 7 TH JANUARY, 2024.

A TROUGH RUNS FROM THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN

SEA TO

GUJARAT COAST AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE

7 TH

JANUARY, 2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH KERALA COAST

& COMORIN

AREA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST,

CENTRAL

&; SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND LAKSHADEEP ISLANDS AREA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:





 24     24-48    48-72    72-96   96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS      HOURS

 NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL        NIL=