####018001727#### WTIN20 DEMS 020640 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 02.05.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 02.05.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 02.05.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF LATITUDE 80 NORTH & ADJOINING EQUITORIAL INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 02ND MAY, 2024. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA NORTH MALDIVES AREA AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA COMORIN AREA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL.=