####018001468#### WTIN20 DEMS 140800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.01.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 14.01.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.01.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER SRI LANKA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF 13 TH JANUARY 2024 AND PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 14 TH JANUARY, 2024. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHBAY OF BENGAL. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA SOUTH OF LAT 9.0N & ADJOINING EQUITORIAL INDIAN OCEAN. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY=