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WTIN20 DEMS 090926

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC T ROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.05.2024

T ROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 09.05.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 09.05.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND

M EDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER

WESTCENTRAL & NORTH BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

       24       24-48    48-72        72-96     96-120     120-144     144-168

       HOURS    HOURS    HOURS        HOURS     HOURS      HOURS       HOURS

       NIL      NIL      NIL          NIL       NIL        NIL         NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING

GUJARAT COAST NOW LAY OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AT 3.1KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAYS, 9TH M AY 2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA , M ALDIVES AND LAKSHADWEEP

ISLANDS.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

       24       24-48    48-72        72-96     96-120     120-144     144-168

       HOURS    HOURS    HOURS        HOURS     HOURS      HOURS       HOURS

       NIL      NIL      NIL          NIL       NIL        NIL         NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

 REMARKS: NIL.=