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WTIN20 DEMS 200620

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 20.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

20.12.2023

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 20.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS  96-120HOURS  120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

NIL       NIL NIL     NIL       NIL         NIL          NIL

NIL



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY'S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER LAKSHADWEEP & NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW

LIES OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN

SEA

LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 20TH DECEMBER, 2023.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER

NORTHEAST

,CENTRAL & SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA AND

COMORIN

AREA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER GULF OF KUTCH AND GULF OF CAMBAY.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24HOURS  24-48HOURS  48-72HOURS  72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS

NIL         NIL         NIL         NIL        NIL         NIL

NIL

*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT=