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WTIN20 DEMS 120623

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 12.02.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

12.02.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 12.02.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH PARTS OF SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING

EQUTORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24    24-48   48-72  72-96  96-120  120-144  144-168

HOURS  HOURS   HOURS  HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS

 NIL    NIL     NIL    NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24    24-48   48-72  72-96  96-120  120-144  144-168

HOURS  HOURS   HOURS  HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS

 NIL    NIL     NIL    NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL=