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WTIN20 DEMS 151045



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15.02.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

15.02.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 15.02.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

    24            24-48        48-72          72-96           96-120

120-144  144-168

   HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS            HOURS

HOURS   HOURS

    NIL            NIL          NIL           NIL                NIL

NIL   NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION

LAY OVER CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY

OVER SOUTH

ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



  24            24-48        48-72           72-96   96-120

120-144  144-168

 HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS   HOURS     HOURS

HOURS

  NIL            NIL           NIL            NIL     NIL       NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL.=