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WTIN20 DEMS 200635

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 20.02.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

20.02.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 20.02.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED W EAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY

OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

       24         24-48        48-72        72-96        96-120

120-144 144-168

      HOURS       HOURS        HOURS        HOURS        HOURS

HOURS   HOURS

       NIL         NIL         NIL           NIL           NIL

NIL   NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER

EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

        24            24-48        48-72       72-96

96-120    120-144 144-168

       HOURS          HOURS         HOURS      HOURS            HOURS

HOURS   HOURS

        NIL           NIL           NIL        NIL               NIL

NIL     NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL.=