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WTIN20 DEMS 050545

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 05.03.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

05.03.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 05.03.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK

CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA

COAST.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24       24-48     48-72     72-96      96-120    120-144    144-168

HOUR     HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS      HOURS



NIL       NIL      NIL        NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED

LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER SOUTH AND CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

24       24-48     48-72     72-96      96-120    120-144    144-168

HOUR     HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS      HOURS



NIL       NIL      NIL        NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=