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AXPZ20 KNHC 120230

TWDEP 



Tropical Weather Discussion

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

0405 UTC Sun May 12 2024



Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from

03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and

from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following

information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,

radar, and meteorological analysis.



Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through

0230 UTC.



...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...



The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to a 1010 low pres near 

10N98W to 08N115W. The ITCZ continues from 08N115W to beyond 

04N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is 

noted north of 02N and east of 90W, from 05N to 14N between 95W

and 104W, and from 02N to 08N between 110W and 132W. 



...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...



Moderate to locally fresh winds prevail west of the Baja

California peninsula, where seas are in the 5-7 ft range. Light

to gentle winds, and seas of 3 ft or less, are over the Gulf of

California. Light winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail elsewhere 

over the open waters off Mexico, reaching gentle speeds near the 

Revillagigedo Islands. 



For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh NW winds will 

prevail off the Baja California waters through the middle of next

week. Northwest swell will maintain seas to near 7 ft into early

Sun before gradually subsiding to 6 ft or less through early 

next week. Seas will build again to near 7 ft in the far NW 

waters by midweek. Gentle to locally moderate winds and moderate 

seas are expected elsewhere across the open offshore waters of 

Mexico through the middle of next week. 



...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 

AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...



Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are found

between Colombia ans the Galapagos Islands. Light to gentle

winds, and seas of 4-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.



For the forecast, gentle to moderate S to SW winds are expected 

south of the monsoon trough through the middle of next week. 

Southerly swell moving through the regional waters will support 

seas of 6-7 ft S of the Galapagos Islands through early Mon. 

Elsewhere, light to gentle winds will prevail with moderate seas 

of 6 ft or less. 



...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...



High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N. The pressure

gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in

the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting gentle to moderate winds N

of the ITCZ to near 20N, and W of 120W. Seas in this area are in

the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 6

ft, are elsewhere N of the ITCZ and monsoon trough. Gentle to

moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are found south of the ITCZ

and monsoon trough. 



For the forecast, moderate trade winds and moderate seas are 

expected in the trade wind zone N of the ITCZ to near 20N and W 

of 120W through Sun, before seas subside slightly through early 

next week. 



$$

AL