####018003388#### AXPZ20 KNHC 070204 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Thu Mar 7 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0200 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 05N86W. The ITCZ continues from 05N86W to 04N101W to 02N120W and from 02N135W to 02N140W. No significant convection is noted at this time. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A cold front is moving into the far NW waters offshore Baja California Norte. Moderate to locally fresh NW winds are ongoing ahead of the front offshore Baja California, otherwise mainly gentle to moderate winds prevail. Seas are 5 to 7 ft, except 1 to 3 ft in the Gulf of California. For the forecast, the cold front will cross the northern part of the Baja Peninsula Thu, then will dissipate near the mouth of the Gulf of California Fri. Fresh NW winds will follow the front offshore Baja California Norte with strong gap winds in the northern Gulf of California into Thu morning. Large NW swell will also follow the front Thu offshore Baja California Norte, which will reach as far S as Cabo San Lazaro Fri night before subsiding below 8 ft. Looking ahead, gale force gap winds may develop in the Gulf of Tehunatepec Sun into Sun night, accompanied by rough seas. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR Light to gentle winds and moderate seas persist across the region. For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will persist across the the region into the weekend, with late night or early morning pulses of locally fresh winds in the Papagayo region. High pressure building toward the western Caribbean may lead to strong gap winds in the Papagayo region Sun night. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A cold front extends from 30N118W to 24N130W. Behind the front, moderate to fresh NW winds and seas of 8 to 9 ft area occurring. Elsewhere, high pressure remains the dominate weather feature over the area. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the ITCZ is leading to fresh trades N of the ITCZ to about 25N W of 120W, with locally strong trades S of 20N and W of 130W. Seas in the region of higher trades are 8 to 11 ft. Seas to 8 ft in mixed northerly and southerly swell are also south of 00N and west of 110W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas persist elsewhere. For the forecast, the cold front will move E of the area and dissipate into Thu, with fresh winds and rough seas N of 25N gradually diminishing from W to E Thu. Farther south, fresh to strong trade winds and residual swell will maintain 8 to 11 ft combined seas from 00N to 25N west of 120W through Fri. Looking ahead, northwesterly swell is likely to bring rough to very rough seas Sat into Sun night. Seas of 12 to 13 ft are possible north of 28N west of 130W during this time period. $$ Konarik