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ABIO10 PGTW 031230

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN

REISSUED/031230Z-031800ZAPR2024//

RMKS/

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.3S

122.3E, APPROXIMATELY 298 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BROWSE ISLAND,

AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD

LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 030955Z

SSMIS 91 GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES FRAGMENTED

CONVECTIVE BANDS OVER THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES, WITH A

WEAKLY DEFINED LLC DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. ENVIRONMENTAL

CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE, WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20

KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY STRONG EASTERLY DIFFLUENT FLOW

AND WARM (30-31 C) SST VALUES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A GENERALLY

SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AWAY FROM LAND OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH A

STEADILY CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE

ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED

TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT

TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//

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