Expires:No;;096335 FPUS65 KFGZ 221634 SFTFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 930 AM MST MON FEB 22 2016 .SYNOPSIS...EXPECT COOLER CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST WINDS. WARMING WILL RETURN STARTING THURSDAY AND LAST THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. && .DISCUSSION... GUSTY NW SFC WINDS ARE DEVELOPING THIS MORNING ACROSS THE HIGH COUNTRY. THESE DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA TODAY. TODAYS FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE. && .PREV DISCUSSION...530 AM THE UPPER RIDGE THAT WAS OVER THE REGION FOR THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE SUPPRESSED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A LARGE AND COLD TROUGH MOVES DOWN THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. EXPECT NORTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP QUICKLY TODAY...USHERING IN COOLER AIR. EVEN COLDER AIR WILL FILTER IN OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY...AS WELL AS BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS. THE COLDER AIR ALOFT WITH THIS TROUGH WILL BRUSH THE NORTHEAST ZONES TODAY AND TUESDAY...A FEW SHALLOW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HIGH PRESSURE REDEVELOPS LATER THIS WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THIS TROUGH. THIS WILL BRING WARMING TEMPERATURES AND LESS WIND BACK THE AREA. && .AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS....THOUGH ISOLD -SHRA POSSIBLE IN THE FOUR CORNERS THIS AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS GUSTING 20 TO 30 KNOTS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH 03Z TUES. AFT 03Z...SFC WINDS N-NE 10-20KT GUSTS TO 30KT ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM....SLOWER SPEEDS ELSEWHERE. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ PUBLIC...DL PETERSON AVIATION...DL RICKEY FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF