Expires:No;;854504 FPUS66 KLOX 111116 SFTCA QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 313 AM PST SAT NOV 11 2023 PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0400 ON DAY 1 ONLY. LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT. THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: SAT NOV 11 2023 THROUGH FRI NOV 17 2023. && 04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04 SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY... LSRC1:CAMBRIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00 FTHLS/MTNS 0.00 EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN N/A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: NO && 04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04 SANTA BARBARA COUNTY... SIYC1:SANTA MARIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00 FTHLS/MTNS 0.00 EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN N/A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: NO && 04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04 VENTURA COUNTY... FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 VTUC1:VENTURA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 MORC1:MOORPARK 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00 FTHLS/MTNS 0.00 EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN N/A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: NO && 04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04 LOS ANGELES COUNTY... WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 SAUC1:SAUGUS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 CQT:DOWNTOWN LA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 MLUC1:MALIBU BIG ROCK MESA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0 LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00 FTHLS/MTNS 0.00 EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN N/A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: NO && DISCUSSION: It will be dry through Tuesday. A significant weather pattern shift will occur mid-to-late next week. Rain will develop at some point between Tuesday night and Friday. Confidence is moderate in amounts and low in timing. There is a 70 percent chance of a 1 to 3 inch event, a 10 percent chance of a 3 to 6 inch event. Also, there is a 20 percent chance of a light event with 1 inch or less. Early estimates show that the peak rainfall will occur sometime between Thursday and early Friday (this too could change with time). $$ Rorke