Expires:No;;092318 AXNT20 KNHC 241702 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1815 UTC Mon Mar 24 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1600 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Caribbean Gale Warning: Strong NE to E winds due to a tight pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and the Colombian low will increase to gale force tonight, with seas increasing to 12 to 14 ft in response. Winds will diminish again Tue morning, but may pulse again to near gale force nightly into late week. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at the website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. East Atlantic Gale: The pressure gradient between high pressure located near the Azores and lower pressures in NW Africa supports near gale force NE to N winds in the Agadir marine zone of Meteo- France. Winds over these waters are forecast to increase to gale- force today as the high shifts eastward. Seas are expected to increase to 10 to 13 ft during this period. For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 08N12W and continues SW to 01N29W. The ITCZ extends from 01N29W to coastal Brazil near 02S40W. Scattered moderate to strong convection are noted from the equator to 06N between 08W and 23W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A surface trough is over the SW Gulf along 94W. Weak high pressure dominates the remainder of the basin. Overall mainly gentle winds dominate, with seas of 2-4 ft, except 2 ft or less in the NE Gulf. For the forecast, high pressure will prevail over the Gulf, supporting moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds over the western and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern basin into mid-week. A surface trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula and move into the Bay of Campeche nightly through early this week, supporting pulses of fresh to locally strong winds over adjacent waters. The next cold front will skirt the NE Gulf with little impact tonight into Tue. High pressure building into the basin in its wake will lead to moderate to fresh SE winds and building seas across the NW Gulf by Thu. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A Gale Warning is in effect offshore Colombia. Please, refer to the Special Features section above for more information. Strong winds dominate the central basin, with fresh winds in the eastern Caribbean and moderate trades in the west. Sea are 8 to 11 ft in the central and SW Caribbean, 5 to 7 ft in the eastern basin, and 4 to 6 ft in the NW basin. For the forecast, fresh to strong E to NE winds offshore of Colombia and Venezuela will pulse to gale force offshore of Colombia tonight, with nightly pulses to near gale likely through at least mid-week. Fresh to occasionally strong NE winds will pulse in the Windward Passage tonight. Fresh to strong SE winds will extend across the Gulf of Honduras into mid- week. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the Agadir marine zone of Meteo- France's forecast area. Please, refer to the Special Features section above for more information. A surface trough extends from 31N47W to 22N56W. Overall, high pressure dominates the Atlantic waters N of 22N, leading to moderate or weaker winds. Seas are 4 to 7 ft. To the south, fresh trades dominate with seas of 5 to 8 ft. For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the western Atlantic will support gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas north of 22N through Wed. The area of high pressure will shift eastward today enabling a weak cold front to move off the northeast Florida coast tonight. Fresh to locally strong winds are likely to pulse off the northern coast of Hispaniola into mid week. Another cold front may move into waters between northeast Florida and Bermuda Wed. $$ Konarik