ABPZ20 KNHC 172312 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Elida, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Central and Western East Pacific (EP97): A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Eastern and Central East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well to the south of Mexico during the middle to latter part of next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central portions of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart