ACUS02 KWNS 140506
SWODY2
SPC AC 140504

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1104 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast.

...South Florida...

Pronounced upper trough will dominate the eastern CONUS during the
upcoming day2 period. Latest model guidance suggests a strong
surface front will have advanced across all but the southern most
part of the FL Peninsula by 15/12z, then quickly surge offshore
around 18z. At this time it appears the prospect for deep
convection, capable of generating lightning, will be minimal as poor
lapse rates and westerly flow ahead of the front do not look
favorable for thunderstorms. Forecast soundings depict weakly
buoyant profiles that rapidly stabilize by mid morning across the
southern Peninsula. Thunderstorm probabilities are less than 10
percent.

..Darrow.. 01/14/2026

$$