ACUS03 KWNS 070740
SWODY3
SPC AC 070739

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0139 AM CST Sat Feb 07 2026

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

...Synopsis...

An upper low/trough will move across northern Mexico on Monday,
approaching the Rio Grand Valley in western TX by early Tuesday.
Downstream, upper riding is forecast across the Gulf Basin. As a
surface lee trough develops across the central/southern Plains,
southerly low-level flow will allow for modified Gulf moisture to
spread across southern/southeastern portions of TX toward the Lower
MS Valley (dewpoints in the 40s-50s F). Some scant elevated
instability may develop across the TX Big Bend vicinity during the
afternoon into evening as meager midlevel cooling occurs in
proximity to the upper trough over Mexico. However, thunderstorm
potential appears low given poor moisture further west across TX and
warm 850-700 mb temperatures.

..Leitman.. 02/07/2026

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