FNUS28 KWNS 252123
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0421 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Valid 271200Z - 031200Z

A strong mid-level trough will be present across the Southwest CONUS
at the beginning of the period. This trough will shift into the
Upper Midwest on Sunday/Monday. Beyond Monday a more zonal pattern
should lead to relatively benign fire weather conditions for the day
4-8 period.

...Day 3/Sat - Southern High Plains...
A very strong mid-level jet streak will round the base of the
mid-upper level trough and eject across the southern High Plains
Saturday afternoon. A deeply mixed airmass is present across this
region which will allow for some of this stronger flow to mix to the
surface. In addition, a developing lee cyclone and the associated
tightening of the surface pressure gradient will also aid in
stronger winds at the surface. Relative humidity is expected to be
around 8 to 12 percent with surface sustained winds around 25 to 35
mph. While this technically meets the criteria for extremely
critical fire weather conditions, it does not appear fuels are quite
to the extremely critical fuel dryness needed to support true
extremely critical fire weather. However, conditions will be
monitored for this higher end potential.

...Day 4/Sunday - Southern High Plains...
Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High
Plains again on Sunday. These conditions should be mostly confined
to southeast New Mexico and vicinity where stronger mid-level flow
should be present and at least some weak lee cyclogenesis is
possible with a passing weak mid-level shortwave trough.

..Bentley.. 04/25/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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