FNUS52 KILM 121905 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 305 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .DISCUSSION... Dry and seasonable tomorrow. Becoming more humid during the afternoon as high pressure gradually shifts offshore. Unsettled weather is expected during the middle of this week. Drier under brief high pressure on Thursday and Friday before the next disturbance arrives by next weekend. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-131115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 305 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 50 90 Precip Type None None Showers Tstms LAL 1 1 1 3 Min/Max Temp 50 82 62 77 Max/Min RH (%) 96 36 94 79 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 5 S 8 G21 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 S 4 S 12 G24 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.21 Precip Duration 1 10 Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/1000 1900 66/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 5 5 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 2300 Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73000 50600 ADI Early 87 Good 48 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 42 Gen Good ADI Late 3 Very Poor 67 Good 9 Poor 40 Fair Max LVORI Early 3 6 4 5 Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 4 Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 6 Rain Turner Stability F B D C Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-131115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 305 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 60 90 Precip Type None None Showers Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 52 82 63 77 Max/Min RH (%) 90 36 99 79 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 SE 7 G20 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var S 10 G20 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.93 Precip Duration 4 12 Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/1000 1900 65/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 5 5 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 1900 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93600 28500 ADI Early 99 Good 41 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 37 Fair ADI Late 3 Very Poor 78 Good 8 Poor 36 Fair Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 6 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 4 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 6 Rain Turner Stability F B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-131115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 305 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 70 100 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 56 81 63 78 Max/Min RH (%) 92 41 100 81 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 S 7 G21 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 7 S 4 S 9 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.28 Precip Duration 4 12 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/1000 1900 66/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 5 4 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 2000 Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 106500 34000 ADI Early 78 Good 59 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 32 Fair ADI Late 3 Very Poor 84 Good 9 Poor 34 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 7 Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 4 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Fog 7 6 Rain Turner Stability F B D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-131115- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 305 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 70 100 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 55 81 62 77 Max/Min RH (%) 88 40 100 79 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 SE 7 G18 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var S 8 G17 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.06 Precip Duration 4 12 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 2000 65/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 5 4 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 2300 Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 109500 36800 ADI Early 87 Good 59 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 27 Fair ADI Late 4 Very Poor 96 Good 9 Poor 40 Fair Max LVORI Early 3 5 5 8 Max LVORI Late 5 1 8 4 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 6 Rain Turner Stability F B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-131115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 305 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 70 90 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 54 82 63 76 Max/Min RH (%) 88 39 100 81 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 SE 8 G19 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 SE 4 S 9 G19 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.82 Precip Duration 4 12 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/1000 1900 65/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 5 5 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 2400 Transport Wind (mph) S 15 S 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105000 33600 ADI Early 75 Good 43 Gen Good 44 Gen Good 31 Fair ADI Late 4 Very Poor 85 Good 9 Poor 37 Fair Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 8 Max LVORI Late 5 1 7 4 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability F B D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...21