FNUS71 KCTP 251211 FWSCTP Spot Forecast for Hominy Ridge Rx Fire...Landowner National Weather Service State College PA 811 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 25. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in State College. .DISCUSSION... Rain-free conditions today and Friday with low humidity courtesy of seasonably strong Canadian high pressure. With fuel moisture potentially falling below 10%, there could be an elevated risk of wildfire spread during the afternoon across portions of central Pennsylvania. MinRH this afternoon is forecast to drop into the upper 20s. Morning cloud cover should help to keep temperatures a bit lower and thus keep RH values from dropping lower. The wind will be less than 10 mph from the north/northeast. MinRH is forecast to recover a bit Friday afternoon bottoming out near 30%. However, the wind will increase from the south southeast with gusts to 20 mph at times over the higher terrain along the southern Allegheny Plateau. Increasing low level moisture/dewpoints along with some rain will limit fire weather concerns this weekend. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). LAL.................No Tstms. Max Temperature.....Around 58. Min Humidity........26 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph late in the morning becoming light. Mixing Height.......5500 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............2. ADI.................18 to 20. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 52 50 47 41 35 29 36 42 48 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 42 44 46 49 52 54 55 57 58 RH................ 48 41 35 33 29 27 27 27 26 20 FT Wind Dir.... NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT Wind Spd.... 5 5 5 4 3 4 4 3 3 20 FT Wind Gust... 8 7 6 6 5 5 6 5 5 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 1.9 2.3 2.9 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.5 Transp Wind Dir... NE NE NE NE NE N N N N Transp Wind Spd... 10 8 7 5 5 5 6 5 5 LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI............... 19 19 19 18 18 18 20 20 20 Haines Index...... 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of frost early in the morning. LAL.................No Tstms. Min Temperature.....Around 35. Max Humidity........72 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the east 5 to 6 mph early in the evening. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................2 to 3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%)........... 43 33 28 22 16 18 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 57 51 46 42 39 38 RH................ 28 36 47 57 67 70 20 ft wind........ NE 3 E 3 E 2 E 1 N 0 NE 1 20 FT Wind Gust... 4 4 2 Mix Hgt (ft).... 5200 500 400 400 400 400 Transport wind.... NE 5 E 5 E 5 NE 6 E 5 NE 6 LVORI............. 2 2 2 3 3 3 ADI............... 2 2 3 3 3 3 Haines Index...... 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). LAL.................No Tstms. Max Temperature.....Around 62. Min Humidity........31 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing Height.......5900 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south 6 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............2. ADI.................4 to 36. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 19 20 20 22 24 26 27 29 31 31 31 31 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 38 40 41 45 50 54 56 58 60 60 61 61 RH................ 73 67 70 62 52 45 40 37 33 33 32 31 20 FT Wind Dir.... NE N E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT Wind Spd.... 1 0 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT Wind Gust... 2 1 4 6 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.5 4.1 5.0 5.5 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4 Transp Wind Dir... NE E E SE SE SE S S S S S S Transp Wind Spd... 5 5 5 6 7 9 10 10 10 10 12 12 LVORI............. 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI............... 4 4 4 26 26 26 34 34 34 36 36 36 Haines Index...... 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ Forecaster...Banghoff Requested by...Benjamin Jones Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412417.0/CTP .DELDT 04/25/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL benj@ruffedgrousesociety.org