FNUS71 KOKX 170912 FWSOKX Spot Forecast for Sarnoff Block D RX...NYS-DEC National Weather Service New York NY 512 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 17. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. 631-924-0383 .DISCUSSION... An ENE wind early this morning is expected to shift to the ESE by 10 am and SE by early this afternoon (1 pm or thereafter). .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Rain showers likely late in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 58. RH..................54 percent at ignition...Min 51 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise East winds 7 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 22 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /13500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair /23600 knot-ft/. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........40 45 61 77 76 75 86 92 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 30 30 30 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............54 55 56 56 55 55 54 53 RH..............54 53 51 51 53 53 54 59 20 FT wind dir..090 100 110 110 120 120 120 120 20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.11 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.6 Transp wind dir.090 100 110 120 120 120 130 130 Transp wind spd.20 21 21 21 21 22 22 21 Vrate kt-ft/1K..14 19 21 23 23 24 22 19 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely early in the evening, then rain showers early in the evening. Rain showers likely overnight. CWR.................60 percent increasing to 80 percent early in the evening, then decreasing to 70 percent late in the evening. LAL.................No Tstms. Temperature.........Min 43. RH..................Max 96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph after 3 am. Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph shifting to the east around 22 mph early in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2800 knot-ft) late in the night. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........88 93 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CWR.............60 60 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............51 49 47 47 47 46 46 46 45 45 45 45 RH..............63 68 79 83 83 89 89 89 96 96 96 93 20 FT wind dir..120 120 130 120 120 120 110 110 110 100 100 100 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 11 13 14 14 16 17 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 Transp wind dir.140 150 160 150 130 120 120 110 110 110 100 100 Transp wind spd.18 15 12 12 13 14 15 16 18 18 21 22 Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 6 3 6 10 13 12 8 4 3 3 4 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely in the morning and early afternoon, then chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 40 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Temperature.........Max 50. RH..................Min 76 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 22 mph. Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 26 to 35 mph increasing to 32 to 38 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (58100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........94 95 95 92 94 94 92 93 94 93 93 92 Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CWR.............70 70 60 60 60 60 60 60 40 40 40 40 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............44 44 46 46 48 48 48 48 48 48 47 47 RH..............96 96 89 89 80 80 77 77 77 77 76 76 20 FT wind dir..100 100 090 090 090 090 090 090 080 080 070 070 20 FT wind spd..10 11 12 12 14 15 15 15 14 13 12 11 20 FT wind gust.18 18 19 20 21 22 22 22 22 21 20 19 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 Transp wind dir.100 100 100 100 100 100 100 090 090 090 100 100 Transp wind spd.26 31 35 37 38 38 38 37 36 36 33 32 Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 3 6 16 31 45 50 51 52 54 57 58 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR $$ Forecaster...JP Requested by...Bryan Gallagher Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2411179.0/OKX .DELDT 04/16/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov