FNUS75 KFGZ 260245 FWSFGZ Spot Forecast for 6 ESB A CO operations...Camp Navajo Fire Dept National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 745 PM MST Thu Apr 25 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on April 25. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MST FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION...Shower and storm activity is diminishing this evening as a low pressure system is passing over the region. Winds at the site will remain variable for the next few hours as decaying showers and storms have left numerous outflows over the area. Overnight, winds should start to becoming southwesterly again. Another low pressure system will be entering the region tomorrow. The increasing SW winds ahead of it combined with terrain lift on the Colorado Plateau will aid in developing scattered showers late tomorrow morning, which could impact the area. Precipitation coverage increases during the afternoon with numerous scattered storms expected: thunderstorms tomorrow could produce ample amounts of small hail and graupel. Friday night thunderstorm coverage decreases but showers will persist. Dropping temperatures with the continued shower activity will result in rain showers transitioning over to snow showers Friday night into early Saturday morning. Confidence is high that snow amounts will remain under 2 inches, possible under an inch. The weather will remain unsettled into Saturday as the low moves east with a decrease in shower activity for the morning before more showers and storms develop in the afternoon. Dry, quiet weather returns by Sunday. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy, becoming mostly clear. Slight chance of a rain shower early this evening. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 29. Max humidity........100 percent. Surface winds (mph).Variable winds 5-10 mph before 9 PM, becoming south southwest at 5 mph. TIME (MST) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........53 28 24 8 15 Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 0 0 0 Temp............39 35 33 31 29 RH..............82 96 96 100 100 Surface wind....VRB 7 SW 5 SW 5 SSW 5 SSW 5 Surface wnd gst.15 10 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy after 10 AM. Chance of rain showers late in the morning. Rain and thunderstorm chances increasing after noon and persisting through the afternoon. Thunderstorms could produce large amounts of small hail and graupel. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 51. Min humidity........46 percent. Surface winds (mph).South southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Thunderstorms in the afternoon will result in gusty, erratic winds TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........25 20 15 69 79 72 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 30 50 60 Temp............29 41 49 51 50 47 RH..............100 70 50 46 48 56 Surface wind....SSW 10 S 15 SW 15 SW 20 SW 20 SW 20 Surface wnd gst. 20 25 30 30 30 .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers with chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Thunderstorms could produce large amounts of small hail and graupel. Rain showers will transition to snow showers after sunset. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 27. Max humidity........100 percent. Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........81 86 79 81 77 82 Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSN SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).70 70 70 50 50 50 Temp............43 36 30 29 28 27 RH..............67 92 100 100 100 100 Surface wind....SW 15 SW 15 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 Surface wnd gst.25 25 15 15 15 15 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with lingering rain and snow showers in the morning. Some clearing late morning will help produce isolated to scattered showers and storms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Max temperature.....Around 49. Min humidity........52 percent. Surface winds (mph).West winds 10 to 15 mph. TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........85 86 84 78 72 72 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 50 60 60 60 Temp............28 31 37 42 46 49 RH..............100 100 89 73 63 53 Surface wind....SW 10 W 10 W 15 W 15 W 15 W 15 Surface wnd gst.15 15 20 20 25 25 $$ Forecaster...ROAKES Requested by...Tim Irwin Type of request...OTHER .TAG 2412530.0/FGZ .DELDT 04/25/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL timothy.irwin@azdema.gov