FQAU24 AMMC 040900
IDY10250
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for Southern METAREA 10
SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 4 May 2024

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 1.
Melbourne Gale Warning 10.
Melbourne Gale Warning 12.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Low [1] 967hPa near 61S080E. Forecast low [1] near 62S092E at 051200UTC.

Trough [1] near 50S089E 60S092E 63S089E. Forecast trough [1] near 57S107E
61S107E 64S102E at 050000UTC and weakening thereafter.

Warm front [1] developing near 54S106E to low [2] 987hPa near 50S098E at
050000UTC. Forecast warm front [1] near 59S121E to low [2] 975hPa near 57S110E
to cold front [1] near 50S107E at 051200UTC.

Warm front [2] developing near 52S117E 56S097E at 041200UTC. Forecast warm
front [2] near 56S123E to low [3] 975hPa near 64S102E at 050000UTC and warm
front [2] near 57S140E 63S130E to low [3] 976hPa near 64S117E at 051200UTC.

Cold front [2] developing near 56S151E 50S131E at 041200UTC. Forecast cold
front [2] near 50S149E 54S160E at 050000UTC and exiting area thereafter.

Cold front [3] near 63S120E 63S154E. Forecast cold front [3] near 57S145E
61S161E at 050000UTC, cold front [3] near 55S155E 58S161E at 050600UTC and
exiting the area thereafter.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Whole area, outside warning areas:
Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter within 300nm east of
troughs and cold fronts [1] and [2], northerly quarter south of warm front [2],
southwesterly quarter southwest of cold front [2] and turning clockwise within
300nm of lows. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to
heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of
fronts, troughs and lows. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

Part 4 Ice edge
Approximately 63S080E 63S120E 64S130E 63S140E 63S150E 62S160E.

Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.


WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 21:00 UTC Saturday.