FQZA81 FAPR 120830 CCA WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII EAST OF 20E. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 12TH OF MAY 2025 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 121000 TO 131000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: W to SW 35 in places in the central and south-western parts during the first half of the period, spreading to the southern parts by tomorrow morning. It will become NW 35 in the east towards mid-period moderating towards the end of the period. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NE 35 to 40 in south-west from the evening until tomorrow morning, spreading to the south by the end of the period. It will become W to SW 35 in the north-west from mid-period, spreading to the north towards the end of the period, while moderating in the north-west. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1028 hPa 30s05e Low 972 hPa 53s13e AREA FORECAST: ============== CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in places in the central and south-western parts during the first half of the period, spreading to the southern parts by tomorrow morning. It will become NW 25 to 35 in the east towards mid-period moderating towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the southern parts, spreading to the east from this evening, clearing in the south from tomorrow morning. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in places in the west and eastern parts, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west, but W to SW 10 to 20 in the south, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the northern parts at times. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the east and north. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the north-east, reaching 4.5m in the south until mid-period, with SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, reaching 20 to 25 in the central and southern half, but 30 in the west at first. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the northern parts and western parts. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, spreading over the central parts from mid-period, with S to SW swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the southern parts, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the north-west. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in places, but good in the central and south-eastern parts. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west, with S to SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the eastern parts, otherwise N to NE 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in south-west from the evening until tomorrow morning, spreading to the south by the end of the period. It will become W to SW 25 to 35 in the north-west from mid-period, spreading to the north towards the end of the period, while moderating in the north-west. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the northern parts, spreading to the west from the evening, as well as central and east from tomorrow morning. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the north-east at first, as well as in places in the west from mid-period, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/05/12 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - STORM FORCE 10 OVER CRO. - STRONG GALE FORCE 9 OVER KER. - GALE FORCE 8 OVER WAM AND AMS. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/05/12 AT 0000UTC - LOW 978 NEAR 46S/53E WITH ASSOCIATED DISTURBANCE, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD RATHER QUICKLY, EXPECTED 975 HPA NEAR KERGUELEN AT 18UTC. - HIGH 1032 NEAR 36S/88E, MOVING EASTWARD. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/05/12 AT 0600UTC TO 25/05/13 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL SHOWERS. WIND : NORTH-WEST 5 TO 6 BUT 7 TO 8 OVER SOUTHERN AHEAD THE FRONT, BACKING SLOWLY SOUTH-WEST 6 TO 7 BY SOUTH-WESTERN BEHIND THE FRONT, DECREASING 4 TO 5 SOON. NORTHERLY 7 TO 8 OVER SOUTH- WESTERN AREA AT END. STRONG GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH, BUT VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVER SOUTHERN. WEST SWELL 3 TO 4 M OVER SOUTHERN THEN SOUTH-WEST SWELL 3 TO 4 M OVER ALL THE AREA AT END. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR WITH PRECIPITATIONS. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SHOWERS, OCCASIONAL THUNDERY SHOWERS. WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5, SETTING-UP NORTH-WESTERLY 6 TO 7, LOCALLY 8 BY SOUTH-WESTERN AHEAD THE FRONT WITH GUSTS. BACKING WESTERLY 5 TO 6 BEHIND IN THE AFTERNOON. SEA : MODERATE TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 5 M OVER SOUTHERN. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR WITH PRECIPITATIONS. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. WIND : CLOCKWISE 7 TO 8, 9 TO 10 NORTHERN OF THE CENTER WITH VIOLENT GUSTS, SETTING-UP SOUTH-WEST 6 TO 7 BEHIND THE LOW THEN DECREASING 4 TO 5 AT END. NORTH-EAST 5 TO 6 OVER FAR NORTH- WESTERN AT END. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, LOCALLY VERY HIGH BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH AT END. WESTERLY SWELL 4 TO 6 M DECREASING 3 M BY WESTERN AT END. VIS : VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATIONS. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. WIND : NORTH-WEST 7 TO 8, LOCALLY 9, BECOMING CLOCKWISE BY SOUTH- WESTERN AT DAY END. VIOLENT GUSTS. SOUTH-WEST 5 TO 7 BEHIND AT END. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, BECOMING VERY HIGH OVER WESTERN DURING THE NIGHT. WESTERLY TO NORTH-WEST SWELL 5 TO 7 M. VIS : VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATIONS. Private Bag X097, Pretoria, 0001 Tel: + 27 (0) 12367 6000 www.weathersa.co.za USSD: *120*7297# Document Reference: Page 2 of 4 Private Bag X097, Pretoria, 0001 Tel: + 27 (0) 12367 6000 www.weathersa.co.za USSD: *120*7297#