FQZA81 FAPR 151700

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII EAST OF 20E.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
15TH OF JANUARY 2026 AT 17:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 152200 TO 162200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. MARION FORTIES EAST: S to SW 35 in the south-east until mid-period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1024 hPa 35s62e

Low 996 hPa 50s47e, Low 984 hPa 60s44e

1. Cold Front: 36s31e 41s41e 47s44e into 50s47e

AREA FORECAST:
==============
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND     : N to NW 10 to 20, but S to SE 05 to 15 in the north-west and
           central parts where it will reach 20 to 30 until mid-period.
VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the
           central and eastern parts, as well as in the west from mid-
           period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and central parts, spreading to the east
           from mid-period, while subsiding in the west, with S to SW swell
           but SE swell in the north.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND     : S to SE 10 to 20 in the extreme west, otherwise N to NE 15 to 25
           reaching 30 in places in the east, but variable 05 to 10 in the
           central parts.
VIS      : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, but
           good in places in the central parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, subsiding from mid-period, with N to NE swell, but
           SE swell in the west.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND     : NE to E 15 to 25 in the west, but variable 05 to 10 in the
           east.
VIS      : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in
           the south-western and eastern parts.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND     : NE to E 15 to 25 in the south, otherwise variable 05 to 10.
VIS      : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in places.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, subsiding by the end of the period,
           with E to NE swell.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND     : S to SW 25 to 35 in the south-east until mid-period, otherwise
           Anticyclonic 05 to 15, but SE 15 to 25 in the north.
VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the
           north-east.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the south until mid-period,
           with W to SW swell.

AREA 2:
=======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA
ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/01/15 AT 1600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%
STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING
- GALE OR STRONG GALE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN KER AT THE END.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/01/15 AT 1200UTC
- HIGH 1027 OVER WAM .
- FRONTOLYSIS COLD FRONT OVER CRO AND KER.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/01/15 AT 1800UTC TO 26/01/16
AT 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 AT TIME 5
SEA: MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH. SLIGHT SW SWELL.
VISI: GOOD.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 INCREASING LOCALLY W 5/6 WITH GUSTS OVER
FAR SOUTHERN.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH. SW SWELL 2 TO 3 M ABATING.
VISI: GOOD.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.
WIND: NW TO W 5/6 LOCALLY 7, DECREASING ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 BY WESTERN
AREA LATER. GUSTS.
SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. W SWELL 2 TO 4 M.
VISI: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.
WIND: INCREASING W 5/6 IN NORTH, 7/8 LOCALLY 9 IN SOUTH. SEVERE
GUSTS.
SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVER SOUTHERN
LATER. W TO SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M.
VISI: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=