WTIN20 DEMS 050657
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 05.02.2023



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
05.02.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 05.02.2023.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY  OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS  24-48 HOURS  48-72 HOURS  72-96 HOURS  96-120 HOURS

NIL       NIL           NIL         NIL          NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



YESTERDAYS LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER COMORIN AREA BECAME LESS MARKED AT
1200 UTC 4TH FEBRUARY, 2023.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN AREA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH
ARABIAN SEA SOUTH OF LAT 10.0N.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS  24-48 HOURS  48-72 HOURS  72-96 HOURS  96-120 HOURS

NIL       NIL           NIL         NIL          NIL



REMARKS: NIL=