WTIN20 DEMS 160638


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 16.09.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL
OF BENGAL OF BENGAL OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT
120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 16.09.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
16.09.2021.





BAY OF BENGAL:

                               YESTERDAY'S  WELL MARKED LOW
PRESSURE AREA (WML) OVER NORTHEAST MADHYA PRADESH LAY OVER NORTH
MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE
16TH SEPTEMBER 2021. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY
DURING NEXT 48 HOURS.



AS PER INSAT 3D IMAGERY, ASSOCIATED SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY
OVER UTTAR PRADESH & EAST MADHYA PRADESH IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
WML. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ADJOINING
EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA GULF OF
MARTABAN AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY OF
BENGAL & NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS   24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS   72-96 HOURS   96-120 HOURS

 NIL            NIL           NIL        NIL          NIL





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING CENTRAL
PARTS OF CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST
ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN REGION AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY
OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS  24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS   72-96 HOURS   96-120 HOURS

 NIL       NIL             NIL           NIL              NIL



REMARKS: NIL=