WTPQ32 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.45 FOR TD LOCATED AT 17N 111E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  MAN-YI (2424) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED AT
  17N, 111E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
  ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012HPA
  AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
  IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
  OF LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
  OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
  BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
  LOW-LEVEL FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS ONLY A VORTEX
  CONSISTING OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR
  AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
  THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
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