WTPS11 NFFN 151800 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A16 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 151948 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE MAL CENTRE 992HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0S 179.4E AT 151800 UTC. POSITION GOOD BASED ON EIR AND IR IMAGERY, RADAR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 40 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT TC MAL LLCC EXPOSED WITH RAPID DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH COOLER AND DRY AIR INTRUSION OVER THE SYSTEM. ORGANISATION REMAINS WITH SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING ONTO BROAD WEAK CENTER. TC MAL CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEAST INTO AN AREA OF HIGH SHEAR AND SST OF 25 DEGREES WITH CONTINUOUS WEAKENING . DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON SHEARED PATTERN WITH CENTRE LESS THAN 3/4 DEGREES WITH T2.5/3.0/W1.5/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 160600 UTC 26.1S 178.9W MOV SE AT 13KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 161800 UTC 28.0S 176.7W MOV SE AT 13KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 170600 UTC 29.7S 174.7W MOV SE AT 13KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 171800 UTC 31.1S 173.1W MOV SE AT 13KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ISSUED FOR TC MAL.