WTPS12 NFFN 041800
PART 1 OF 2
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER B14 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
MAR 041931 UTC.
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE KEVIN CENTRE 941HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8S
178.4E AT 041800 UTC.  POSITION FAIR BASED ON HIMAWARI HR VIS/IR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS.  CYCLONE MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 29 KNOTS.  MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR
THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 100 KNOTS.  
EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
ABOVE 33 KNOTS WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
  AND WITHIN 180 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
  AND WITHIN 160 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
  AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT.
ORGANISATION GOOD WITH EMBEDED LLCC ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SYSTEM LIES
JUST SOUTH OF UPPER RIDGE WITH GOOD FLOW. SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER STRONG
UPPER DIVERGENCE WITH MODERATE TO HIGH SHEAR. CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS
EXTEND UPTO 300HPA. SST IS AROUND 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. 
CYCLONE IS BEING STEERED SOUTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM.