WTPS31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (PAUL) WARNING NR 006// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (PAUL) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z --- NEAR 15.3S 156.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 156.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 15.0S 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 14.4S 154.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z POSITION NEAR 15.2S 156.5E. 12APR24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (PAUL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 636 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY DETERIORATED AND UNRAVELED WITH THE DISORGANIZED CENTRAL CONVECTION SEVERELY COLLAPSED AND SHEARED EASTWARD OF AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF TWO WEAK AND FRAGMENTED FEEDER BANDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF AGENCY AND AUTOMATED DVORAK ESTIMATES. ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS UNDER STRONG (30KTS+) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY FALL BELOW WARNING THRESHOLD, LIKELY SOONER, AS IT ATTEMPTS TO RECURVE WESTWARD UNDER INCREASING VWS AND OVER COLD DRY AIR ADVECTION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 120000Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 12 FEET.// NNNN